The Black Swan. The Impact Of The Highly Improbable

The phenomenal international bestseller that shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty

What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper?

This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them.

'Taleb is a bouncy and even exhilarating guide ... I came to relish what he said, and even develop a sneaking affection for him as a person' Will Self, Independent on Sunday

'He leaps like some superhero of the mind' Boyd Tonkin, Independent

SPECIFICATIONS:

Author:Nassim Nicholas Taleb - Нассим Николас Талеб

Publisher:Penguin

Language:English

Publication Date:2011

Number of pages:480 pst

Format:Paperback

Width:129 mm / 5,1'

Height:198 mm / 7,8'

Weight:349 g

ISBN:9780141034591